4 Comments

Could you share some insights on choosing IBM as top short selling?

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Slowly declining consulting business disguised as "tech", being killed by cloud (something it claims it pioneers).

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Thank you for swift response! I was hoping IBM’s hybrid approach of cloud services would give some silver lining in the future years coupled with their scale and still “strong” profitability. Also their track record of dividend growths and somewhat solid free cash flow position would give some edge on downside protection.

Anyway, I have been looking at your posts in snowball and it was impressive to be able exploring your way of thinking and how you approach on valuing stocks. I’m looking forward to seeing more of posting and thank you for sharing!

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Thank you so much for your support :)

A last word on IBM's FCF... it looks solid, because in order to maintain their topline stability they had to keep acquiring new companies (in lieu of spending money on R&D) -- cashflow goes out on the CF for investment line, not the operating line. If one adjusts for that, their real FCF yield is much lower. This is a company that puts a lot more effort on "financial engineering" rather than "innovation".

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